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It all depends on the crazy world economy but there are a lot of PS2 owners that were waiting for this IMO, not to mention those who have the phat and want the slim. I have seen a ton more advertising about the $299 than I have almost anything from Sony thus far this generation.

My guess...400-450 worldwide next week if there is stock out there.

I don't see a HUGE drop in Japan, especially with the announcement of the Final Fantasy release date for Japan. I think Others will be the same or higher. Sales won't drop much if at all in US is my guess. We are all guessing though, who knows until then what the results will be.