Will the Wii have 50% market share by the end of 2009?

[Jereel Hunter]

Millennium said:
I don't know if it will actually hit 50%, but it will certainly climb, and if it does not hit 50% then it will be close. Whoever wins the holiday season is whoever can manufacture the most machines, and the Wii wipes the floor with the other two in that regard. Nothing else matters, because everything is going to sell out, just like it always does.

Of more interest to me is the January-March period, once the holiday excitement dies down. What will happen then?

Actually, the winner is whoever sells the most machine. Which will undoubedly be the Wii. The real question being, though they'll sell the most, can they outsell the PS3 and 360 combined this holiday? I say no. The Wii will never reach 50% marketshare. I still firmly believe, as I stated long ago, it will come really close, but will eventually end the generation around 45% (at best).