Will the Wii have 50% market share by the end of 2009?

[greenmedic88]

tedsteriscool said:
At first I thought this was a new thread and was going to dish out the pain to some members...

OT: No, it won't hit 50% by the end of '09. It'll probably lose market share compared to the HD twins this holiday.

Maybe.

This holiday season will be a real test to see which rationale turns out to be the most rational.

At least the "Wii Fit Plus/New Super Mario Bros. will sell tens of millions of Wiis!" declarations have been kept to a minimum.

I still see it as being about an even wash, with the Xbox potentially losing minimal market share to the PS3. Nintendo could potentially lose some market share to the PS3/360 combined, but if they drop to a more consumer friendly $199 price for the holidays, anybody's guess is as good as any other.