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outlawauron said:
halogamer1989 said:
Craan said:
Swing Voters are dumb they forget things. The economy will probably bounce back, guess who's gonna get the credit for that? in 2010 the democrats are going to have losses in the house and senate 2012 the democrats are going to have more losses in the house and senate, but Obama is almost certainly going to be reelected. Not to mention he probably won't have much competition.

Indies are against him by a 2:1 margin now plus in all likelyhood there will be a double dip recession.  + we don't know who will get the GOP nom.  Could be Romney or Gingrich and if the latter Obama would lose. Remember the black/youth vote pulled him over in toss-up states by like 1-2%.  VA will go red in 2012 I can tell you that much. 

VA and NJ will go GOP this Nov. which will help turn Obama's tide.  I predict 20+ seats in the House and around 10 in the Senate for the GOP in '10.

I think you're being pretty optimistic here.

Read this Reuters article when u get a chance: http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE57U41Z20090831

In it is the following

Top political analyst Charlie Cook, in a special August 20 update to subscribers, wrote that "the situation this summer has slipped completely out of control for President Obama and congressional Democrats."

"Many veteran congressional election watchers, including Democratic ones, report an eerie sense of déjà vu, with a consensus forming that the chances of Democratic losses going higher than 20 seats is just as good as the chances of Democratic losses going lower than 20 seats," he wrote.

 

Cook is not a run of the mill desk lackey.  He is up there with Rasmussen in name recognition.