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Of course they're going to deny it. Do you expect them to say, "Yes, we did it! Continue posting scat and scorpion porn."

I don't believe Super_Secret though. He's probably your next gamesblow, silogon or surfer girl. He'll be right a couple of times, just out of sheer luck, but you'll come to realize that he's full of shit. When he's wrong, expect to never hear from him for a long time or forever.