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I know if Sony could somehow pull a rabbit out of the hat and have Killzone3 out of the gate alongside Halo:reach it would definitely rain on MS's parade, I'm willing to bet they'll at least have shown gameplay in next years E3 so it can overshadow. And remember Gears 3 has not been announced as a Microsoft exclusive, Microsoft may want it that way, but if it's not already in contract - Microsoft will have to pay up more than they have in the past, to an extent it may not be feasible for them to do anymore.