The linked article and view of the OP are dumber than Helen Keller. 
The only way 360 or PS3 can catch the Wii at this stage is if they sell their systems for $100.
Plain and simple. There's a much tougher market to sell to now that the systems have been out 3-4 years respectively. Price cuts are designed to maintain steady sales instead of a continuing downward trend. They DO NOT bring the sales numbers back to launch.
The majority of the development world see Natal and PS3 motion as "me too" devices to draw casual games. The issue is, since its HD, it will cost more to make a casual HD game than a casual Wii game, plus Wii has the casual market already.
Translation - Natal and PS3 motion will only provide "Wii-like" control experience to the current userbases, not do much to increase sales.
That's it, that's all.
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