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While I think a safe prediction would be the third or fourth week, I'm going to make the outrageous prediction that the Wii will outsell the slim PS3 on the first week ... This is certainly not a sure thing, but the PS3 would have to increase its sales by roughly 5 times their current level to pass the sales of the Wii; and this might be possible due to the low sales level of the PS3 currently, there is a pretty good chance that it will fall short.