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At this point, I don't think you can say that the PS3 is going to sell more than the 360 based on Elite vs Slim.

The 360 arcade is still going to be a major factor when it comes down to families on a budget, marketing, and viability.

Also, there's a Halo game this fall. Lets see you talk the 12 year olds into buying Uncharted 2 instead.