CGI-Quality said:
themanwithnoname said:
nen-suer said:
toastboy44562 said:
CGI-Quality said:
Seihyouken said:
Orca_Azure said:
I doubt it. That would require 43% of all ps3 owners to buy the game (assuming there are 23 million owners). I just don't see it happening. GT4 sold 10 million on a console that sold about 136 million units. |
Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (PS2): 4.01 million
Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (PS3): 4.11 million
Soul Calibur III (PS2): 0.96 million
Soul Calibur IV (PS3): 1.07 million
Total userbase is a poor means of guessing at the potential sales of games. Also if you think total PS3 sales are going to be 23 million by the time GT5 launches you're crazy. If current rumors and leaks are true and the PS3 gets a $100 price drop within the month and GT5 launches in December, then total PS3 sales will most likely be around 28 million in which case the game would only need about a 1/3 of all PS3 owners to buy the game. However, GT5 will not reach 10 million sales instantly. It will do so over the course of about a year and a half, in which case the PS3's userbase will have increased to possibly as high as 50 million by then.
Gran Turismo 5 will have the highest rate of ownership among console owners of any Gran Turismo game.
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Interesting analysis. It would all have to fall perfectly in place here for this to happen though.
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gta: sa-17.5 million
gta4-~6 million
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Gta4 was on Xbox360 too, GT5 is exclusive XD
BTW: Both vesions combined sold about 12.8
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Neither of you guys' analysis is correct. Yes, it was multiplatform, but you cannot say that everybody who had a 360 would've gone out, bought a PS3 and the game if it was only on the PS3, so if we were guesstimating at what the sales would be like if GTA IV was only on the PS3, it would be in between 6 and 12.8 million and still significantly under San Andreas.
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It's all speculative, so you can't say your analysis is necessarily correct either.
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It's more accurate than using 6 million or 12.8 million, but yes, it is analysis based on a hypothetical situation.
