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I think, Sony will either release a new console
A) before the end of 2011, or
B) not at all.


Microsoft will either
A) try to take Natal as a serious relaunch, or
B) Literally launch it with a new xbox in late 2010-11

Nintendo will either
A) try to innovate with new peripherals, for many years, or
B)release a new console around 2010 with slightly better graphics and one significant innovation.