| SamuelRSmith said: Haven't got a clue, I was reading about months ago. |
Almost certainly Kurzweil...he is as bit...erhm...optimistic to put it mildly.
I would personally put it between 2050 and 2060 before we have computer intellects capable of designing future generations with intellegence. One of the things being pushed really hard right now is mapping the neurons in the brains of various animals to better mimic a brain in our AI designs (this is the concept of a neural network). The problem is that its a big leap from mapping to understanding and another big leap from understanding to actually implementing. We are already doing some understanding in terms of interpreting the signals but we haven't really grasped how the brain does what it does so well just yet.
We are on the path and there is light at that end of the tunnel (or darkness depending on how you view it) but its going to be a lot of effort and politically this will become an issue before the project can be completed. That alone will probably push the completion time out 15 years as soon as the politicians figure out that its not far off...think cloning in terms of the series of events and ethical debate building up to the final breakthrough.
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| To Each Man, Responsibility |
