There are two key factors with console success... Console sales and strength of AAA 3rd party support...
If you are not selling as many consoles but AAA 3rd party support is strong you are OK.
The problem is when AAA 3rd party support weakens and console sales disappear as well.
If PS3 sales slow more, AAA 3rd parties may assess the situation. If they decide to stay PS3 is fine, if they start jumping ship, then PS3 will be in loads of trouble.
For B games and shovelware we are already seeing this happen. 360 is getting B and shovelware games but PS3 is not this holiday season (Might be a good thing depending on how you look at it)... Darkest of Days, Raiden IV, Bass Pro Shops The Strike, Risen, Squeeballs, Ben 10, CSI, Are You Smarter then a 5th Grader, Spongebob are lower level games that will ship on 360 and not PS3 this holiday. They are all B level or shovelware games, but the point is 3rd party support is weakening at that level... If it goes to the AAA level then, PS3 is a dead console walking. I don't see that happening for a while though, as AAA sales of software are decent to strong on PS3.







