The Official 5 week Sept USA NPD Thread (Data released ~6:30 pm 10/18/2007)

[white devil]

spam_vt said:

TheSource said:

Here is what I am projecting for 2007 (by NPD) Oct-Dec numbers are estimated, other numbers are publicly reported figures.

	.5YTD Total	July	August	September	October	November	December
Wii	~2.1 million	425,000	403,600	501,000	424,000	1,000,000	2,000,000
Xbox 360	~1.2 million	170,000	276,700	527,800	360,000	575,000	1,325,000
PS3	~763,500	159,000	130,600	119,400	90,000	400,000	1,000,000
DS	~2.7 million	405,000	383,300	495,800	390,000	850,000	2,250,000
PSP	~1.3 million	214,000	151,200	284,500	234,000	475,000	1,250,000
GBA	~740,500	87,000	69,500	75,000	48,000	100,000	225,000
PS2	~1.5 million	222,000	202,000	215,000	168,000	376,000	1,000,000

Reasons:

- Halo 3 boost wears off in October for 360 - but momentum continues. Sales won't double in Nov from Oct because the biggest game was released in Sept, and because PS3 becomes $400/$500 (and the $500 version includes a game) November 2.

Do you really think the 360 sales are going to drop that much for October? It has already sold 120k this past week (down only 5% from the previous week). The Halo effect doesn't seem to be wearing off very quickly. The 360 would need to drop to 80k/week (-30%) in order to hit 360k for October. With the holiday bundle coming up, I don't see that happening.

 Yeah, I don't really see the 360 numbers being so low either. October sees whatever left over Halo momentum there is (and there will be some, no way that sales increased for 12 days and went back to normal) as well as the release of the new bundles. And if marketed right, Mass Effect could put up similar results as Gears of War. Not only that, but I simply don't see the sales increase from last year being that small.