| nen-suer said: I agree with him completely. @DirtyP2002 But Activision is not making the (25 million) game exclusive to the PS3, so there is no real risk....no? |
of course there is a real risk! Every 25 million USD investment in this industry is risky.
Let's say you are a 3rd-party-developer. You plan to release a BIG game 2011. Your budget is something like 25 million. You expect to sell 5 million copies (50% Xbox360 / 50% PS3). To reach this 5 million sales you need a userbase of 80 million (PS3 and Xbox360 combined). Now it is August 2010 and you realice, the needed userbase simply won't be there, because one of the hardware producers did not make it to mass market price. So the chances that you are losing money are pretty high, even though you made a good game.
So this would lead to cut down developing costs, which would lead to less console sales and / or a smaller attach ratio etc.
As I said before: 3rd parties need console makers and console makers need 3rd parties.
Imagine not having GamePass on your console...







