Give me your thoughts on PS3 console sales over the next 6 months to a year

[krik]

elendar said:

krik said:

HappySqurriel said:

There really isn't much of a reason to buy a PS3 over an XBox 360 this year (in North America or Europe) being that the XBox 360 has a much larger and better library, and the better exclusive games released within striking distance of the holiday season. At this point, the only reasons some one would choose a PS3 over the XBox 360 is they're a Sony Fanboy, they are really looking for a Blu-Ray player, or they're uninformed. For this reason I expect the PS3 to sell really poorly and only sell 2 to 3 million units worldwide over the holiday season; thus they will be sitting between 7 and 8 Million units sold wordwide as of January 1st 2008.

In 2008 I expect Sony to average 500,000 units per month sold wordwide for the first 6 months and thus to hit 11 Million units sold in May or June 2008.

I'm not uninformed, I'm a pretty techie dude that works as a Senior Lead Developer in a large corporation, read all about consoles and games, have lots of friends working on the game industry and I would pick a PS3 over an 360.

My reasons:

1) Games:

Even if the 360 has more games out right now, most games I want to play are either in both PS3/360 or they are on the 360/PC. Also, lots of great PS3 and more coming within the next 6 months. Since I have a pretty good PC where I can play BioShock and Gears of War (soon) I can't even think of another 360 game I would like to play.

2) Hardware:

I like Nvidia but hate ATI.

 

360 makes noise, PS3 is pretty much silent.

I don't like Sony but I hate Microsoft even more.

I really hate the brick power supply of the 360.

I like PS3's black look better tha's whitish.

I would hate to be playing a system that has a 30% failure rate and go crazy just to think I would have to deal with MS for a replacement/fix.

3) Life time:

PS2 is still a good machine, selling amazingly well with good games coming out. Xbox1 is pretty much dead. It only lasted 4-5 years, not very good when a game takes 2+ years to make.

Likelly PS3 will outlive the 360 by at least 3-4 years so it is a better investement over time.

4) Price:

PS3 is cheaper - considering I get the HD player ($170 for 360) wifi ($100 for 360) included.

360 + HDDVD + Power brick + WiFi = lots of space, clumsy setup

 

Now, what are your reasons to get a 360? What "must have" games am I missing? Why am I misinformed?

PS: I don't like Halo, never did and always preferred Unreal, so don't say Halo3.

PS2: I'm getting Unreal 3 on the PC, not the PS3. My PC is better than my PS3, easy ;)

 

Reason #1 Games - It is completely up to personal choice as to which games you enjoy. However, the edge goes to 360 with more games and more people playing the games. More games sold = More games Made = More games sold .. Not to mention if you have 7 million people playing games with friends vs 2.5 million.. A lot more friends will choose 360. Word of mouth has an effect. Reason #2 Hardware - Some people may hold off due to the rrod but your other reasons are so trivial I would be willing to bet 99% of gamers don't care. Reason #3 Life time - Yeah the ps2 is selling still because of the massive installed base. 360 has the lead and the gap is growing. So there fore its more likely that the 360 will have the larger installed base ensuring more games into the future. Reason #4 Price - 360 wins. You can try to show all the value you want out of the ps3 but the cheaper one will sell more. Well I hoped I helped show why you might be miss informed when it comes to the average gamer. As to you not wanting any 360 games well good luck with your smaller ps3 library.

You reasons are valid but for me they make no sense to me. Do you get my point? The current 360 game library is bigger than PS3 but going forward both consoles will have lots of great games. We both know that. It's all about choice. I respect people that chose and buy the 360. I don't understand their reasons but I respect it.

What I do not accept is the initial comment that drove my reply: "At this point, the only reasons some one would choose a PS3 over the XBox 360 is they're a Sony Fanboy, they are really looking for a Blu-Ray player, or they're uninformed."

Just one question... why do you let Microsoft get away with a 30% failure rate?

Would you buy a car that would have a 30% failure rate? NO.

Would you buy a TV with a 30% failure rate? NO.

Would you buy _ANYTHING_ with a 30% failure rate? Let me guess... yes if it's a Xbox 360. WTF? This makes no sense to me.