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outlawauron said:
@ mibou

But you have to understand that many if not most of the sales were at a lower price. I got a brand new crackdown for $10. It got very cheap, very fast.

That's why I'm low balling the total revenue to 30 mil, if the game was a full price $60 dollar game, the revenue would generally equates to $37 for the publisher ($3 more goes to MS which in this case equates to $40)

Since the first 500k were sold within the first 4 week at full price you already have 37*500,000 = $18,500,000 in revenue. I am giving a very low appraisal of the remaining million copies sold with a $11,5 million in revenue which equals to $11.5 per copy.

Even if a lot of the game were sold are bargain price, the balance should more than cover the $11.5 per copy to reach my lowball estimate, surely the game didn't get as cheap as $10 overnight, especially considering more than 700,00 copies were sold within the first 13 weeks (aka the first quarter).