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GT5 is the only exclusive game on PS3 which I could see not being gobbled up by MW2 and Assassins Creed 2 in terms of sales. Only one GT game has NOT released in December so I expect the game to release the first week of December. It's basically a game which can release at any time and it will do 2 million first week but the trend is simply a December release.

My personal opinion is that TGS is the latest the game can be revealed for a 2009 release but I expect the media blowout to be next month at Gamescom. The biggie here is that GOW III is releasing March 2010 as well as many other huge games so competition will be everywhere. BTW I know they are not of the same genre but money is money. There is no big PS3 exclusive releasing this year so all signs basically point to a 2009 GT5 release.