I don't expect the economy to recover in 2009 or even 2010 (certainly not early 2010). With such long time frames, and because this is not my area of expertise I wouldn't predict a specific time for recovery.
By recovery I mean a sustained recovery of course. If the economy enters a temporary plateau where it drops or improves by a small amount that doesn't mean much, it could just be a period where government intervention is causing a delay to the economic effects. I don't think that's very likely to happen though.
BTW akuma, for the Dow index to drop under 7500 it just needs a 8% drop from here, it's not that much.
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