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superchunk said:
I would bet that MGS4 will cost Konami around 30m to produce and another million to advertise and distribute.

If they make about $20 per sale, then they would only need to sell about 1.55m units to break even. I bet they are aiming for a 4-5m sell through. So even if they spend 40m at a max, they should still be really profitable here. Based on the numbers below, this is a huge game for them, it is their biggest franchise.

Let's see, MGS games sold historically,

1 = 5.59m
2 = 5.56m
3 = 3.96m

@http://vgchartz.com/worldtotals.php?name=metal+gear&console=&publisher=&sort=Total

holy shite!!! i agree with you superchunk!!! 200 devs just means this'll be the most fantastic game i've ever laid my hands on! =) you guys should also consider sony is taking on some of the burden, most likely advertising costs at the least... this is one of their norms for exclusivity.