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Xen said:
Sounds really over the top...

Why is that?  And that's only counting 40k players.  The article on the front page is an estimate, but the leaderboards already show 80k players on the first day. (those have to have purchased the game, I believe)  At this point there are already 200k players on the leaderboards.

If it is 80k players, then they all just need an average of 3 to 4 hours to reach that.

On launch day things go crazy and people always play longer periods so even 6 hours or more seems reasonable.