1. No idea myself, but i would say to swap PS3/Wii numbers around because although playstation is such a recognisable brand, most PS2 owners are not brand loyal.
2. i agree, the singstar base (which is big in EU) will probably just keep their PS2s andmaybe get a Wii for Wii sports and maybe somehting like DDR.
3. no it can't fail, neither financially of market share wise (even if PS3 can overtake it, which is unlikely, getting a close second is excellent) and sales go up and down all the time, i think Wii sales might slow down in a proper sense maybe 2010....09 is a bit early i think.
4. on a mass scale, maybe not, but it will be bought by many of the PS2 gamers that consider themselves "hardcore" and there seem to be a few people on this site who previously only played PC games, or havent had a console since NES/SNES that are buying Wiis.
5. depends what would have been considered a "win" before PS3 was launched, and what is considered a "win" now, and what is considered a "win" by Sony etc.
I predict either a very close 3rd with 360 slightly ahead, a close 2nd with 360 slightly behind (wii way ahead) or possibly a reasonably close 2nd (ie maybe 70M compared to Wiis 90M).
and i very much doubt PS3 will be second by the end of 08, i would go for mid-late 09 (which is selling similar to 360 during 08, but with a better xmas, then selling better for 09, and a much better xmas)
