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Wind Shlavitor said:

You don't know all the secrets of the universe, and you don't know shit.

If I dont know shit, I think it could be assumed that I dont know the secrets of the universe.

As you stated, some fictional made up premises have the probability of near 0%.  What percent do you need in order for you to start to making judgements about our universe?  Everytime I wake up gravity is working, so I'm going to give it a 99.99999999999% chance of working since it has always worked for me and every other person, but I havent tested the future so, for your sake, I'll assume there is a possibility of it not working. 

It would be unreasonable for me to even think about gravity not working, when I go to bed I can say with certainity that gravity will be there in the morning.