I would bet that MGS4 will cost Konami around 30m to produce and another million to advertise and distribute.
If they make about $20 per sale, then they would only need to sell about 1.55m units to break even. I bet they are aiming for a 4-5m sell through. So even if they spend 40m at a max, they should still be really profitable here. Based on the numbers below, this is a huge game for them, it is their biggest franchise.
Let's see, MGS games sold historically,
1 = 5.59m
2 = 5.56m
3 = 3.96m
@http://vgchartz.com/worldtotals.php?name=metal+gear&console=&publisher=&sort=Total







