@bdbdbd
I think you underestimate digital distribution. Five years from now it will be the main medium of distribution. Music has already adopted it as the main form of distribution. If only slightly. DVRs, Tivos and services like netflix are becoming common place in households. The Iphone and upcoming pspgo have adopted downloadable ownership as their only form of distribution. The upcoming ZuneHD is gonna be able to play any media on any external HD platform like an HDTV. If the zuneHDs' memory drive is large enough people will carry mini HD movie libraries in their pockets.
All these things have happened or will happen as soon as this year. Digital distribution will become the main form of distribution around 2012 but it won't establish itself until 2014. Bluray will peak around 2011.
