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No, it probably won't. The software trends for the PS3 are clear, so it can't be compared to previous PS gens. The only way GT5 will sell over 10 mil (IMO) is if it is bundled SUPER heavily.

Folks, even the software giant 360 will likely only have 1 or maybe 2 (Halo Reach?) that sell over 10 mil. Let's be realistic here, folks.

Edit:  For the record, having a 10 million seller or not has no bearing on if the PS3 sells decently or not, so its really not a huge deal.  And the post by scottie is a must read to give some realistic perspective.