NJ5 said:
Your last statement is true, but it doesn't mean employment is a strictly lagging indicator. In a consumer-led recession, the turn around can't start before unemployment starts letting up. Simple logic there I think. I really want to know how this recession can end while people are losing their jobs and lowering consumption, with their homes getting foreclosed pushing them even farther into poverty. IMO there's just one way for the recession to end, and that's for more people and companies to get out of debt (either by paying their debt or defaulting on it, the latter of which will cause the banks and the government to lose a lot money due to bailouts).
|
Well a recssion as termed by NBER involves many factors, not just employment:
"a significant decline in [the] economic activity spread across the country, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP growth, real personal income, employment (non-farm payrolls), industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales."
So it could end even if people are losing their jobs still.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)







