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I love when people say the GTA and RE precedents...

-GTA3 was on PS2, Xbox and PC, GTA Vice City was on PS2, Xbox and PC, GTA San Andreas was on PS2, Xbox, Xbox360, PC and MAC... The series was never exclusive, it was only timed, then Microsoft got the best deal for GTA4 and 360 had the edge in NA, do the math...

-RE1, 2, 3 were PS1 exclusives, then Capcom signed a deal with Nintendo, RE0 and RE4 were on the Gamecube, RE4 later saw PS2, PC and Wii versions, and the GC version was near the PS2 version in sales despite having a huge gap in market share...

-In MGS case, PS3 has the edge because MGS4 remained exclusive and a 4 million fanbase was built on the PS3, so they will have the advantage in all regions (unless there's a major screw-up, or a timed deal with the 360)...