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WereKitten said:
All the people answering gamelover about first party and motion controls are linking numbers that compare past sales. But those sales happened on very different markets for the Wii and the PS3, and as such they don't prove what could happen when
- the extended market becomes a field of contention between all competitors. Up to this point Nintendo has been almost alone in tapping it, save for a handful of titles
- motion controls are tentatively proposed to the traditional core market as an advanced form of control

None of these two seem to have happened in a significant amount, up to this point. So past sales data are a very poor indicator of how these will unfold, and how Sony will be able to push them as a first party developer.

Sony lacks any install base for its motion controller, so they have to hope that they are able to field software that can push the wand out the door and also push Sony console sales, however their first generation stuff will be dealing with Wii games, utlizing the Wii motion plus, from developers who are very used to the Wii system at that point.  In addtion most causals don't own a PS3, so that means that Sony will have to entice them to buy a system almost $500 to play casual games which may not even have the same quality as the Wii games availible.  



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)