johnlucas said:
Superchunk: a lesson. NEVER back down from your stance. Make sure your stance is solid first before committing of course but once you're sure, stick to your guns. Never back down under pressure. Sometimes you may be the ONLY one who believes you but that's all you need. That's a lesson for life. Make a clear vision and don't budge because of the naysayers. People's opinions will change on a dime. People are fickle. You can't follow that. You stake out a claim and you hold it true to heart. I never had ANY doubt they could make this and I STILL think they're just underreporting what they can really do. 20 million was frankly the EASY call. Take PS2's approx. 120 million life to date sales and divide that by 5. You get 20 million. They're in year 7 and are in the 120 million range. Wii is trending HIGHER than PS2 and will always trend higher because of its market-expansive properties and the type of competition it faces. If in 7 years PS2 is in the 120 million range then Wii can beat that with a 20 million in the 1st year before market expansion fully develops in which each subsequent year flares outward. A lot of thinking goes behind these seemingly crazy predictions, man. I don't just pull this stuff out of my "arse", you know. Stick to your guns Superchunk. That's why you have the TRUE in red by one of your predictions. John Lucas |
Yeah, very true.
Not bad though, in december I said wii=12m, 360=14m, and ps3=8m. In April I realized I was too low and changed to wii=19m, 360= 16m, ps3=10m. Then in June I though I was way off, so I finalized at my current pred. What I should have done was leave 360/ps3 the same as my december, and only changed Wii in April. Then I would be probably right on.
Anyway I got to give it to ya, I thought you were way over with the 20m, but, it seems you must control Nintendo's production lines, because they seem to be trying to keep you true.
