Nintendo has won Japan for the year

[Aiemond]

senseinobaka said:
I think Rei has a point. Those look like total sales over time. MH is already a proven evergreen title on PSP...and I think it will follow a slow burn to a couple million over time on wii. This means it will not cause Wii sales to spike, but might increase it's weekly average over time. The same may be true for Dq9. I dont expect multiple millions by the end of the year...but lifetime will be very significant.

As for FF13, I can see it selling a million in japan by years end...maybe 1.5, but it's going to have minimal effect on console sales. 1 reason I think this is because it's being released during a high demand period and the HW spike will be significant already. Another is that FF13 will release on a system with only 3.2 million install base in Japan.

I think MH will spike consoles because of

1) New Color

2) Bundle

3) A slight bump from the game itself

 

As for DQ, I don't know how much of a slow burn will occur, if it is anything like DQVIII we will see 2M+ first week sales.

 

@Auxumblade: I am only talking about games that will make a major impact in the Japenese market. I do not think KZ2, InFamous and Heavy Rain will have an effect in Japan. If I was talking about western markets, I would have included them. Also, we have no indication of GT5, which would have been listed if there were major indications that it would release. Same with the slim. The things I put on the Nintendo list are all 100% sure releases.

If you have any games that you would like to add for the Japenese market then add them as it would help the discussion. But I do not know of any.

 

Lastly on the PSPGo, there are two major flaws for the Japenese market (only one in the western one).

1) Price. It costs as much as a wii and more than a dsi (This is true in Japan. It is about $250 there too). This right here hurts alot for all markets. I think everyone can agree on this.

2) This is major in Japan, but not here imo (I think western markets are better for DD, but this is not the thread to go into western DD), the DD factor. Japan likes physical media. Not being able to have physical media will hurt the psp go alot. I expect the 3000 to outsell the go until it is discontinued. Remember, used games are HUGE in Japan, they love selling back games they beat.