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The issue is not technology. Microsoft and Sony will deliver competent and possibly compelling products and Nintendo has developed an improvement for its system.

The issue is market. There are already 50M Wiis with motion sensing. There are 0M (as in ZERO) Xbox 360s or PS3s with their respective new technologies. That means existing customers will have to pay for the new add-on and new customers will have to do the same (or pay more up front).

This leads to a vicious circle. Software drives hardware sales. But without a hardware install base, there is limited (or no) software development. Sony and Microsoft might make games/tech demos (as some derisively have called the Wii Sports line), but how much will others invest in these new technologies?

The Wii Motion Plus is getting support because it is building on an existing base -- and because the software is literally moving hardware. Three (in the US or four in Europe) of the five games games coming out for the WM+ include hardware bundles. Thus third parities get to sell the hardware (even before Nintendo). That will put in people's hands and increase adoption. But it is an add-on with a small price tag ($10 more in a game bundle to $20 more MSRP to $25 more for Gamestop mark-up).

Conversely, there is no base for Microsoft and Sony currently. And no one knows yet how much people will have to pay or how many will pay or what there will be to play for the new devices.

Nevertheless, the failure is not in the technology itself. The failure is in being three years behind the market leader in being released. These products will be good but they will be niche. They will also probably be standard in the next console releases by their respective companies.

Mike from Morgantown

Remember, the best tech does not always sell the best -- or even sell enough to survive.



      


I am Mario.


I like to jump around, and would lead a fairly serene and aimless existence if it weren't for my friends always getting into trouble. I love to help out, even when it puts me at risk. I seem to make friends with people who just can't stay out of trouble.

Wii Friend Code: 1624 6601 1126 1492

NNID: Mike_INTV