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A few thoughts ...

Natal looks like it has been over-promised and it is likely that Microsoft will under-deliver with it. It will (potentially) be a fairly expensive add-on ($100+) with little/no third party support, and most of the games would be considered simple next to the amazingly complex Wii Sports. With how late we are already into the generation (The XBox 360 is almost 4 years old) if Natal is delayed and is (likely) to be released 18 (or more) months from now it is likely that it will be shelved until the next generation.