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I think both MGS4 and MGS5 (if there is one) will go the route of MGS2. They'll be ps3 exclusive, then an enhanced version will hit the 360 down the road. Only the enhanced version will be 360 exclusive, with the ps3 instead receiving the enhancements as DLC (which they will probably make us pay for =/).

The real questions surround MGO, what with the whole Konami ID BS. They wouldn't be able to get away with that on XBL, and I don't know whether they'd forgo their control and use XBL, or just not port MGO at all.