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Microsoft or Nintendo - sony simply can't wit what they have right now. we basically know their whole lineup for next 6 month so how they can suprise us?
microsoft has a lot of announcements:
2 Rare Games,
new Molyneux game,
Gta4 second DLC episode,
new jrpgs from MS second party developers,
possible Crackdown 2,
motion sensing camera,
possibly new additions to Xbox Live and Marketplace,
Halo ODST, Forza3, Alan Wake, APB, new Splinter Cell,
maybe even that rumored handheld,
and probably at least few new games for second half of 2009 and first quarter of 2010.

nintendo has well way too much to mention everything. they can simply show gameplay videos from their preTGS lineup of games, give us few new announcements(Retro new game, Pikmin 3) and they will have best nintendo E3 conference in years maybe not best E32009 but definitely The Best Nintendo Show on E3.

oh and Kantor most of sony studios from your PLUS section aren't first party(they are either socond party or were making single exclusive game or franchise for sony and still are releasing games for other consoles).