This thread is hella long so I only read the first half of it. One thing definitely stood out to me though. The analyst said that while the PS3 was struggling this year, the software would be put on hold or delayed and then start up again once the PS3 hits its stride.
Has this ever happened in the history of gaming?? Maybe I is ignent, but I thought that when a console is not doing well, sources move to the more successful console and they rarely come back. I have never heard of tons of projects just being put on hold and then later completed. It doesn't happen. Software companies are in the industry to make money and to do so they follow the money. All numbers and sales are pointing to the Wii and Xb0x360 to be the money makers. Why would software companies take a huge gamble on some unknown to just make games for a future 'successful' PS3, when they could simply stick to the successful consoles now and make money now?
There is a reason that many people here often talk about the spiral of death that many consoles have gone through in the past. There has never been a case in the history of gaming when the spiral has been magically reversed. Now is it possible Sony could do some reversing? I believe so. But NOT enough to sell over 15 million a year for the next two years. The Wii is off to one of the best starts in hardware history and it will probably sell around 17 million this year.
Who do these crazy analysts think they are? There is no historical precedent and all of the sales figures currently point in the opposite direction. This, to me, says they are basing their prediction on no solid ground. That's a bad analyst.