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The only problem with that is that the Wii has lost a lot of momentum that it had over the past couple of years with its lackluster game lineup that debuted at E3 2008 and wowed no one. That said they've built up a sizeable lead already so they probably will hang on to win this gen.

Also, the 360 will probably be retired soon to make way for Microsoft's next console which will feature exclusives like Fable 3, Mass Effect 3, and Gears of War 3.

In the meantime, the PS3 (much like the PSP which frequently beats or holds its own against the DS in Japan in sales) will receive many high quality exclusive games over the next few years in the wake of games like GT5 and FFXIII from Japanese developers, and while most Western console games gear up to be made for the next Microsoft console, the PS3 will most likely get many of the third party western games that the nextbox gets and be able to approximate them much better than does the Wii which has a hard enough time trying to play this gen's top western third party games like Bioshock, Fallout 3, and GTA IV. And the PS3 will continue to receive games from its top Western first and second party studios games like Killzone 3, Little Big Planet 2, and Uncharted 3 guaranteeing that it has a long shelf life.

I still say that the most likely outcome of this gen is

Wii -- 100,000,000 units sold (but a much harder time reaching that second 50 million than it did its first 50 million)

PS3 -- 70,000,000 (no third place console has ever had the quality of games that the PS3 has headed its way from Japanese and Western companies over the next few years.

360 -- 50,000,000 (will be retired to make room for third games in leading series to propel the sales of the next Microsoft console.)