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jlauro said:

 

Look at the top sellers of all time for all platforms.  You will find far more FPS games with larger sales than you reach a boxing game.  You will not find that many boxing games in fact that sold well (compared to FPS).  Boxing is a much smaller niche than FPS.  Maybe it will be evergreen bridge game that keeps selling, but there have been far more FPS hits than boxing hits in the course of gaming history.  I'm sorry, but I don't see what's so special about Punch Out to make it appeal to a larger audience than the Punch Out of the past.  That said, it is Nintendo, and lots of Nintendo fans are excited about it, so it will likely sell several millions.

The real question...  will The Conduit be good enough of a game to sell well...?

That's shortsighted. You speak as if all markets are homogeneous to a mythical average historical market.

The reality is that all consoles have stratified markets and the Wii in particular has peculiar characteristics. Punch Out will sell due to nostalgia factor to the core Nintendo base, and then it will keep selling in a casual fashion to the extended audience because it has a colorful, non-threatening appeal and will probably be marketed as a "different" and lighthearted boxing game.

Just look at Mario & Sonic Olympics and tell me how many Olympic games in the past have outsold almost all FPSs on the market.

 



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