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Magic 8-ball says: Not likely.

It could happen, but it doesn't launch in "others" this year (I think) and I don't think it will have the crazy level of marketing hype. It's also going to be really interesting to see how the new gamer contingent reacts to it...Smash Bros. isn't the most complicated series, but it's not "casual" either.

Overall, it will outsell Halo 3, but I doubt it will do better in the first day/week/month.