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I don't think it has anything to do with how good the game is going to be or not.

Any FPS is going to have a hard time beating CoD on any platform.
Seeing how CoD Waw didn't sell 1.5 million units on the Wii yet despite having a far greater marketing budget than The Conduit can expect to get, it's highly doubtfull than Conduit will sell over 1.5 million units either...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !