I agreee with Smashchu2, in that the perspective needs to be moved away from Sony to the customers. They are the ones in control of the future of the PS3. All Sony can do is to reassure the consumers and position their product so as best to appeal to them.
When noone wants to buy PS3's anymore it will stop selling, regardless of price, Sony statements, gamereleases or other things.
The population limit for consoles this generation, what will it be? I would ask Oyvoyvoyv, but he's banned. But around 140 million for the HD consoles? That seems fair? I predict PS3 and 360 will end up around 10 million from each other, so PS3 can sell between 65 and 75 million. Tops.
The PS3 currently sells around 10 million per year. So 6 or 7 years more, tops. Then the console will be selling like the Ps2 is doing now, or worse. The only thing that could save the console then is if there is no new generation. If there isn't, people will have to replace their broken PS3's with new PS3's, and not PS4's.
So if by 2015 there is no new generation as we know it, I would say that the PS3 has a chance at surviving longer than the PS2. Otherwise, I doubt it.
And from a consumer standpoint the first statement about technology is insane. In only a couple of years, the Blu-ray player in the PS3 will (as a blu-ray player) be a complete non-issue.
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