Viper1 said:
mikescoff said:
Viper1 said:
mikescoff said:
Look at the past 4-5 weeks.
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You do realise that Super Smash Bros Brawl and Mario Kart Wii launched in that 4-5 week time frame last year, don't you?
When you factor that out, you also need to understand that Spring is the slowest sales period of the year.
Follow that up with many huge games for the rest of the year in contrast with very few last year and I cannot fathom how anyone can predict fewer sales this year than last year or that this 4-5 week trend is somehow permanent.
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You also have to factor in last years supply constraints which are no longer an issue. It's questionable whether Nintendo will be able to deliver even higher sales during the 2010 year than they have in 2008 and 2009 without a price cut (even if they do end up selling better in 09 than 08). Either this year or next year sales will end up falling and necessatating a price cut and at that point the logevity of Nintendo's success will come into question. In the coming year or two the controversial assertion that the Wii is a fad will be answered by either growing sales or a price cut.
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I think I just blew a few logical fuses in my brain. Pardon me while I go replace them.
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Most people DO expect a price cut either this year or next year. If that does happen than it calls into question the Wii's longevity as a long term brand rather than a product with temporary appeal riding off the heals of media attention.