| infamous8 said:
1. Ps2 was heavily PIRATED. It was so easy to find access to copied games. Ps3 is the opposite and the only console this gen that hasn't been successfully hacked. 2. Less competition. Ps2 had a huge library of games. Ps3 library is significantly smaller, which will give a lot more attention to GoW III on Ps3. 3. Kratos is quickly becoming a mascot for PlayStation. When GoW1 came out, nobody knew what to expect. When GoW2 came out, the Ps2 generation was pretty much already over so it didnt get as much hype as it should've. But when GoW3 comes out, everyone will have their eyes on it.
I'm expecting Lifetime sales of 4-5 million... possibly even more if it's bundled. |
While I'm not going to refute your points completely, I would to offer some counterpoints, all in the spirit of moderation.
1. When God of War II was released, it had almost no competition whatsoever. PS2 was dead on new software. It still sold worse than the first one.
2. Install base. PS3 will have around 25 million when GoW III is released (around being the keyword), while PS2 had around 120 million. Expecting a 20% attatch ratio for a niche game such as God of War might be just a bit much. And you can be very sure that at least 75% of the sales will come in the first couple of months.
3. Your argument that God of War would have sold 5 million if not for piracy is unfounded, and most likely just wishful thinking.
My expectation is that it will do about as good as the original God of War.
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