Next-gen console war: The verdict by mcvuk.com

[Sullla]

Bookmark this thread so we can look back at it in two year's time. I have a feeling we'll be having a good laugh - AGAIN! - at the expense of Screen Digest.

Here's what the same group said earlier this year:

Through 2010, Screen Digest has PS3 in first and Wii in a distant third. These market share predictions were extracted from a graph, since the exact numbers are not in the Gamasutra article. The Japanese market prediction seems strange, but we'll see what happens.

Japan
360 - 11%
PS3 - 64%
Wii - 25%

USA
360 - 42%
PS3 - 38%
Wii - 20%

Europe/Australia
360 - 37%
PS3 - 43%
Wii - 20%

They then later said in this thread that the market was "impossible to predict." So, aside from swapping the position of the Wii and the 360, their prediction has remained *EXACTLY* the same despite a growing mountain of evidence to the contrary. I continued to be stunned at the abject denial of reality on the part of a so-called "professional" analyst group. There is no possible way that anyone can predict a victory for the PS3 anymore and be taken seriously. None. Anyone who feels that way is living in a dream world. We've got almost a full year's worth of sales data now, and (outside the two weeks of the PS3 European launch), the system has failed to be the top selling console in ANY region for even ONE single week this year! Or, to put it another way, the Wii has outsold the PS3:

45 out of 45 weeks (America)
45 out of 45 weeks (Japan)
28 out of 30 weeks (Europe)

You'd have to be delusional to think that the PS3 will somehow, magically, rise up and sell more units by 2009. How can anyone watch the sales data week after week, month after month, and still believe that?!?

I can't tell if these people are completely insane, or very successful con artists.