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GT5 will sell a pretty good amount but I would be willing to be it won't sell as much as GT4 because:

  1. It is a smaller base.  GT4 may have released to a smaller userbase but it was still out with the 100+ million userbase.  The PS3 will be lucky to get half that.
  2. Sony has lost a lot of ground in Europe and that's where this franchise is huge correct?
  3. There's more out there now