| Squilliam said: Even if the hardware is finalised at the end of this year for an end of 2010 release, it will be finalised for the expected market conditions in 2011/12 and beyond. The issue with trying to predict the future is that there are so many viable strategies for console makers to employ. Each have their own strengths and weaknesses.
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Shift everything forward in time, then. A cheap DVD player did cost $30 by the end of 2005 and into 2006 - first year of lifetime for the 360. And the market penetration was 75% of USA households by Q3 2005, 81% by Q3 2006 (source: Tom's hardware). I doubt similar costs and market numbers for BluRay in 2011/2012.
But, yeah, I agree that it's all in the air. It's fun, though :)
@azelover
Logically, I'd agree that BluRay will be enough for everything the mass consumer will be interested in for a long while. But I used to think the same about CDROMs and then DVDs, and yet the wretched content creators managed to overflow their capacity again and again :)
I hope we'll come soon to cheaper permanent RAM technologies. Those sound much more future-proof.
