WereKitten said:
I doubt that time reference. It would be all in Sony interest, as they are playing catch up this gen. On the other hand, it will be MS to cut it short and come out with a new machine first before Sony takes too much advantage of the increasing sales post price reduction. Even 2.5 years would mean a launch date of end of 2011/start of 2012, but I rather suspect that MS will want to ride the economic post-depression upturn in 2011. To come out in mid 2011 you have to set the specs in 2010, that's why i was comparing the BR players of one year in the future with the DVDs of the beginning of 2005. But of course, you're entirely right about the player costs if this gen really lasts another 3 years or more with the same consoles. It could still be more convenient to have a single piece of hardware. Less hassle with firewalls setups, maybe remote playing of all kinds of media via wireless - even internet-wide - to small devices (PSP, Zune...), a single device you have to update.
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Even if the hardware is finalised at the end of this year for an end of 2010 release, it will be finalised for the expected market conditions in 2011/12 and beyond.
The issue with trying to predict the future is that there are so many viable strategies for console makers to employ. Each have their own strengths and weaknesses.
Tease.







