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Braid is still too new to PC to go on sale.

The one downside to Steam sales is that they do seem to be almost completely random (the other downside being that you often buy games on weekend sales you may have had no intention of buying in the first place).

Orange Box released in 2007 just had its first weekend sale whereas L4D had a half off sale earlier this year despite being released in fall 2008.

Barring pre-order sales on new games, you never know when a game you want is going to be on sale through Steam.