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CGI-Quality said:
gergroy said:
CGI-Quality said:
gergroy said:
gran turismo 3 was bundled for a long time, and stuck around for the whole console generation, I can still go buy it in stores. So you would have to consider the whole user base as it is now, which is around 140 milion consoles. Halo 3 is up there with a mere 30 million. GT5 won't be near the same amount of success. I think prologue is a very good indicator of what it's sells will be, I would be very surprised if it sold more than a million or 2 more than prologue.

It well sell at least 4-5 mill more than that Prologue.

 

you say that with such certainty, do you have a time machine?  I honestly don't see how it could sell that many.  With a lifetime userbase going to be about half of what the ps1 was, I don't see how it could match the sells of the previous games. 

Plus, the racing genre is nearly as popular as it once was. 

 

Go back and read the edit....explain MGS4 vs MGS3 when the userbase is DRASTICALLY different.

 

pretty simple explaination really... Marketing.  Metal gear solid 4 had a huge marketing campaign and a near perfect review score.  Metal gear solid 3, on the other hand, had almost no marketing involved and did not fair that well in reviews.  Also, Metal gear solid 4 was bundled with the last backwards compatible model of ps3 sony offered.  So yeah, there are reasons for their sales equality. 

Now, if sony bundles gran turismo 5 like they did 3, then they might have a chance of selling your numbers.  Otherwise, I don't think the game has the capability of selling that much.