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Basically, if MS is smart (and the money says they are), they are doing a Nintendo and holding out on announcing games until they are close to ready for launch (they've received a lot of anger about alan wake afterall).

We'll know for sure whether MS are awesome at using others business strategies OR if they are truly out of their prime after E3.

Remember when Gears 2 was announced and when it was released people. Just because they don't talk about it the second they give the thumbs up for the development to start on a new IP, doesn't mean it's not there.